The Market’s Hopeful Thinking

Introduction . At about 2,900, the S&P 500 is only 15% off its all-time high and down just 10% for the year, but the starting points were arguably lofty levels. At its low, the market fell 35% from its intraday peak of 3,394, which is slightly more than the median… Continue reading

Economy Caught a Nasty Virus

Introduction . The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 50 bps yesterday in response to coronavirus risks. These risks have real impacts on lives, supply chains, productivity, etc., plus they have psychological impacts on buyer behaviors. Will the rate cuts save the economy? Probably not. Financial liquidity was… Continue reading